EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-1
Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
STO
0 - 0
CHL
20%
25%
56%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
CHL
3 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1995 |
WHU
1 - 3
CHL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CRY
1 - 1
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
STO
2 - 1
WBA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
STO
0 - 0
CHL
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STO
0 - 0
TRA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
BIR
1 - 1
STO
60%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |