Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
LEI
3 - 0
CHL
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 0
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
STO
1 - 0
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
STO
1 - 0
LEI
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
STO
4 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |