Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
37%
23%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
WOL
4 - 1
CHL
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
CHL
0 - 3
TOT
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1963 |
BBU
2 - 2
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
STO
1 - 2
BPO
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
BBU
1 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
STO
0 - 2
SHE
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
SHE
4 - 1
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |