Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 1
CHL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
CHL
3 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 4
OPA
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 3
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
STO
1 - 2
OPA
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
EVE
0 - 3
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
72%
15%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
ARS
0 - 3
STO
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |