Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 1
WBA
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 2
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 0
STO
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
STO
1 - 3
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |