Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
BUR
3 - 0
CHL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
CHL
5 - 3
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
OPA
5 - 2
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 0
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
STO
2 - 3
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
STO
2 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |