Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
MID
3 - 2
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
CHL
2 - 2
CHA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
GRI
2 - 1
CHL
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1946 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
CHL
3 - 0
LEE
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
STO
3 - 0
SHE
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
PNE
1 - 3
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
STO
3 - 2
MUD
63%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1946 |
STO
5 - 2
LEE
66%
18%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
STO
3 - 2
DER
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |