Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
MUD
5 - 1
CHL
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
MID
1 - 1
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
CHL
3 - 0
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
DER
5 - 0
STO
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BIR
1 - 2
STO
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
STO
1 - 1
LEE
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
STO
1 - 3
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |