Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 1
HUR
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1934 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
GRI
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
STO
4 - 1
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
OPA
0 - 1
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1934 |
STO
2 - 2
ARS
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1934 |
BBU
0 - 1
STO
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
STO
2 - 0
MID
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |