Chelsea vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
STO
2 - 2
OLD
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
OLD
4 - 1
STO
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
STO
3 - 0
BRI
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
BRI
2 - 0
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |