Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
SHW
3 - 1
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
CHL
2 - 0
WHU
61%
24%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
CHL
2 - 0
WIM
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 0
WOL
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 3
OLD
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
SHE
0 - 0
SOU
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 4
ARS
30%
29%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 1
SHW
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
LEE
0 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |