Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1992 |
MID
0 - 0
CHL
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHL
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1992 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
EVE
2 - 1
SOU
46%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
SOU
2 - 2
COV
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
SOU
2 - 0
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
NTT
1 - 2
SOU
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
SOU
1 - 1
BBU
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |