Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
SHE
1 - 0
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
CHL
3 - 2
MUD
34%
27%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
SHW
3 - 1
CHL
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
CHL
0 - 2
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
SOU
3 - 4
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
CRY
2 - 1
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1991 |
NTT
3 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
SOU
2 - 0
LEE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |