Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
LUT
1 - 1
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
TOT
4 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
CHL
3 - 0
WBA
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
LEI
0 - 0
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 1
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
IPS
1 - 1
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
SOU
0 - 0
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |