Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 3
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
COV
1 - 0
CHL
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 2
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
4 - 3
WBA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
QPR
0 - 4
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 0
SUN
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |