Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
NEW
5 - 1
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1967 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
WBA
0 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1967 |
TOT
2 - 1
CHL
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MAC
4 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
SOU
4 - 0
WBA
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1967 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
NEW
3 - 0
SOU
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1967 |
SOU
6 - 2
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |