Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Chelsea vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 1
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
15%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 7
SER
4%
13%
83%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 6
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |