Cup Winners Cup Final
Global 3-2
Chelsea vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1971 |
CHL
1 - 1
RMA
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1971 |
IPS
0 - 0
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1971 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 1
COV
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1971 |
CHL
1 - 1
RMA
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 0
RMA
36%
28%
37%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
RMA
2 - 1
PSV
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 1
DEP
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
UDL
0 - 0
RMA
33%
28%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |