Chelsea vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHL
3 - 0
TOT
67%
20%
13%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
FCP
70%
19%
11%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
11%
22%
67%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHL
3 - 0
BUR
79%
15%
6%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
56%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
QPR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
POS
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SCU
0 - 1
QPR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
QPR
2 - 1
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
NTT
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |