FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Chelsea vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
SOU
5 - 0
CHL
48%
23%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHL
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
MAC
4 - 1
CHL
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
IPS
1 - 3
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
BRI
2 - 1
PNE
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHL
24%
23%
54%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
PNE
1 - 0
ASV
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
BBU
1 - 0
PNE
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1968 |
HUL
1 - 1
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |