Chelsea vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
4 - 4
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
CHL
3 - 2
BIR
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
SHW
1 - 0
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
BPO
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
PNE
4 - 0
WHU
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
1 - 0
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
BPO
0 - 1
PNE
55%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
PNE
2 - 0
FUL
51%
21%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |