Chelsea vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHL
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
0 - 0
BOL
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |