Chelsea vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
WOL
1 - 2
CHL
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
0 - 2
BBU
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1958 |
BBU
0 - 3
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
2 - 3
MUD
43%
22%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
WBA
4 - 0
CHL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
OPA
0 - 1
NTT
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
WOL
7 - 0
OPA
79%
13%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
OPA
3 - 5
WOL
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
WHU
6 - 0
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
EVE
2 - 1
OPA
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |