Chelsea vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
BBU
2 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
2 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
4 - 1
GRI
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1932 |
OPA
3 - 2
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
OPA
3 - 0
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
ASV
0 - 1
OPA
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
SUN
5 - 1
OPA
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
OPA
2 - 1
BIR
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |