Chelsea vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 1
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
SHW
2 - 2
OPA
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
OPA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
5 - 0
ASV
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |