Champions League Last 16
Global 2-4
Chelsea vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHL
1 - 1
STO
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CHL
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHL
5 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
CHL
50%
24%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 0
MPL
78%
14%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSG
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 1
PSG
19%
24%
57%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
4 - 1
REI
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
CHL
50%
24%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |