Chelsea vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1987 |
CHL
2 - 0
SHW
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 0
CHL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
NOR
2 - 2
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1987 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
ASV
2 - 2
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1987 |
WHU
0 - 1
OXF
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
OXF
1 - 3
WAT
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
ALD
3 - 0
OXF
14%
20%
67%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 0
OXF
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
OXF
3 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |