Chelsea vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
CHL
3 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
MID
3 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
1 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
WBA
0 - 0
OLD
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
OLD
5 - 2
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
SUN
1 - 2
OLD
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
OLD
2 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |