Chelsea vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHL
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
SHW
3 - 0
CHL
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
SHW
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 1
SUN
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
OLD
2 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
WBA
2 - 2
OLD
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 0
WBA
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |