Chelsea vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
TOT
1 - 3
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
OLD
3 - 0
CHL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
CHL
2 - 2
WIM
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
ASV
2 - 2
CHL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
CHL
4 - 2
LIV
18%
22%
60%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
NOT
0 - 4
NTT
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
NOT
1 - 0
SOU
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
MUD
2 - 0
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
WHU
1 - 2
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1991 |
NOT
3 - 1
IPS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |