Chelsea vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
HUR
0 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
2 - 1
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BBU
4 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |