Chelsea vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
BBU
3 - 2
CHL
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
MUD
2 - 2
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 2
OLD
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
WBA
4 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHW
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |