Chelsea vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
MID
0 - 3
CHL
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 0
TOT
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
DER
3 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 6
BBU
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
NOT
2 - 1
OLD
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
NOT
0 - 1
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |