Chelsea vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRI
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
CHL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 2
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
2 - 2
NOT
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 3
BBU
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 1
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
LEI
0 - 2
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 2
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |