Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
BBU
0 - 3
CHL
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
LEE
2 - 2
CHL
44%
24%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 3
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
NTT
3 - 1
STO
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
NTT
0 - 0
LEE
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
FUL
4 - 1
NTT
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
NTT
2 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
WBA
2 - 2
NTT
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |