Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
SHE
0 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
CHL
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 4
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
MID
1 - 1
NTT
56%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 0
NTT
76%
13%
10%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |