Chelsea vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHL
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
TOT
4 - 2
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
CHL
2 - 0
WIE
67%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 4
CHL
40%
24%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHL
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
BBU
6 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 1
BPO
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 4
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
NOR
0 - 2
TOT
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |