Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHL
4 - 0
BPO
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 4
CHL
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WHU
1 - 3
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WIG
0 - 6
CHL
8%
19%
74%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 2
BPO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WOL
1 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
STA
2 - 3
NEW
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
6 - 0
ASV
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |