Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
3 - 1
LIV
31%
30%
39%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
CHL
2 - 2
MUD
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1978 |
LEY
0 - 0
CHL
24%
22%
55%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 1
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |