Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
CHL
2 - 1
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
CHL
0 - 2
LEE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
LUT
1 - 1
CHL
39%
26%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 0
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
4 - 1
LIV
39%
30%
31%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
LUT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 1
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |