Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
EVE
1 - 2
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
CHL
3 - 2
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1969 |
CHL
2 - 1
COV
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
WBA
0 - 3
CHL
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
TOT
0 - 1
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1969 |
NEW
2 - 0
COV
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1969 |
VST
3 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
NEW
5 - 1
VST
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |