Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
PNE
4 - 5
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
BPO
3 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
CHL
0 - 4
SHW
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
WOL
3 - 1
CHL
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
TOT
4 - 0
NEW
69%
16%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
LUT
3 - 4
NEW
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
NEW
4 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 4
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
NEW
3 - 1
BBU
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |