Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
32.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
36%
32%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
BIR
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BIR
4 - 1
NEW
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |