Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 3
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
WBA
3 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 2
WBA
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |