Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
SHE
3 - 3
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
MUD
4 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 4
MUD
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
4 - 1
OLD
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |