Chelsea vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CRY
1 - 1
CHL
25%
24%
51%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHL
15%
20%
65%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
17%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
5 - 1
SHR
86%
10%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 0
TRA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 1
MOR
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
BRO
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |