Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
SHW
2 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
CHL
2 - 2
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
WOL
8 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 2
ASV
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
SHE
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
WBA
2 - 1
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
HUR
2 - 1
MID
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
MID
4 - 1
SHW
60%
19%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
MID
1 - 4
MUD
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |