Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
SUN
4 - 1
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 1
WOL
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
HUR
1 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
FUL
1 - 2
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
OPA
39%
24%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
MID
2 - 1
HUR
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
FUL
6 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
MID
2 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
BUR
7 - 1
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |