Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
OPA
4 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 3
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
MID
4 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |