Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
EVE
5 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
MID
2 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 0
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
MID
1 - 1
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
MID
4 - 2
HUR
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 1
MID
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |